Biocomplexity Institute predicting COVID-19 surge in the winter

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (WVIR) - According to a recent Biocomplexity Institute model, in mid-January there may be a large spike in COVID-19 cases that will hit its peak in early February.

“We’re going to see something kind of similar to what we saw last fall / winter, despite the fact that we’ve got a lot of people vaccinated. And so, with omicron on the scene, I think what we should anticipate is that things for the next month or two are going to be pretty high overall case rates,” Bryan Lewis, a research associate professor at the Biocomplexity Institute, said.

These models try to estimate how many people are asymptomatic too. However, researchers say there is still a lot of uncertainty surrounding this new variant.

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