New poll numbers show the
race for the state's top job in a statistical tie. They also shed light on what
a 2016 run for president could look like for Governor Bob McDonnell.
The poll provides some
interesting insight into Virginia's electorate, starting with this year's
contentious race for governor, where things are still mostly neck and neck.
Another week, another
survey of Virginia voters. Last week's Washington post poll put Republican Ken
Cuccinelli up five points over Democrat Terry McAuliffe among all Virginia
Hot on its heels is Wednesday's
NBC News/Marist poll, which shows the candidates in a statistical tie. But keen
eyes aren't focusing on those numbers, they're looking deeper.
"It does kind of show you
the issues facing McAuliffe with an off-year election in terms of the makeup of
the electorate," said Geoff Skelley, political analyst at the University of
Virginia Center for Politics.
Skelley says it's a bit
early to start looking at the pool of "likely voters," but judging by
those that plan to turn out in November, McAuliffe could face a problem.
"The makeup of the
electorate of likely voters was whiter, more conservative than the makeup of
just the registered voters," Skelley said.
In fact, the same survey
showed Ken Cuccinelli up three points among likely voters.
"What McAuliffe has to do
is he has to make sure that those voters who turned out for Obama in 2012, and
probably 2008 as well, that they will show up and vote for him in 2013,"
And if he were allowed to
run again, McDonnell would be ahead of McAuliffe by 15 points, 51 to 36.
"If anything, Terry
McAuliffe has tried to cozy up to Bob McDonnell in a lot of ways," Skelley
Analysts say that's part
of the Democrat's strategy. McAuliffe continues to praise McDonnell and his
bipartisan transportation plan, perhaps hoping in part to tie his wagon to the
one already on the road.
Speaking of McDonnell,
this poll also showed some interesting data if he were to run for president in
2016. Poll numbers show him beating vice president Joe Biden 49-42, but losing
to Hillary Clinton 52-41.
Ed joined the NBC29 news team in May, 2011. A Charlotte, NC, native, he graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with degrees in journalism and political science.Full Story
Ed joined the NBC29 news team in May, 2011. A Charlotte, NC, native, he graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with degrees in journalism and political science. Email/Follow on Twitter/ Full Story
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