No Clear Lead in 5th District PollsPosted: Updated:
The country is just four weeks away from Election Day 2010, but polls for the 5th District of Virginia indicate no clear leader. And how big the gap is between incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello and Republican candidate Robert Hurt varies depending on which poll you look at.
"This race is far from over. It's still going to be one of the closest ones in the country," said Isaac Wood of the University of Virginia's Center For Politics.
A Survey USA poll out the first week of October has Senator Hurt 23 points ahead of his democrat opponent. But results of another poll done by League of Conservation Voters and the Service Employees International Union was published by The Washington Post Monday saying that Hurt only has a one percent lead on Perriello.
Wood says neither poll is realistic and believes the real margin is somewhere in between. The key, he says, is getting people out to vote in this mid-term election.
"What's likely to decide these elections is not so much going to be voters changing their minds but different voters showing up to the polls," Wood said.
The candidates are hoping that a focus on the economy and job creation across the district is what gets their supporters out to the polls on November 2nd. With unemployment still high, especially in southern regions of the district, Hurt and Perriello are boasting their policies to convince voters that their platform will improve the economic situation in central Virginia.
"We're trying to get beyond the bumper stickers to really get to the substance to help create jobs and economic relief for the middle class and I think that's why voters are coming back our way," Congressman Tom Perriello said.
"I think that the Republican platform is what we need in Washington to get back to the basics," Virginia senator Robert Hurt said.
Wood says the 5th District congressional race is a prime example of what's happening all across the country. Wood says enthusiasm nationwide is favoring Republicans with many Americans wanting change in politics and likely turning out to vote against the president's party.
As far as the numbers go, both Perriello and Hurt feel that there is only one important "poll" in this race.
"Both sides know that this is a very close race and what's done over these next 25 days or so is really going to decide the election," Wood said.
"The only poll that counts is the poll that is going to be held on November second," Hurt said.